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NFL WEEK 5: Our official predictions for who wins this weekend

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Browns Wk 5

Another week, another miracle cover saving our picks from falling apart.

This time it was the Kansas City Chiefs saving bettors wallets in the final seconds, with Chiefs linebacker Justin Houston recovering a fumble and taking it to the end zone on the final play of the game to give the Chiefs a backdoor cover that they will never forget.

It's a good reminder that gambling is not for the faint of heart.

This week, we'll hope to land on the right side of all of the nail-biting decisions yet again. There are a few tricky lines out there that seem to be tempting bettors into their comfort like a Siren's song, but do not be fooled — if things look too good to be true, they probably are.

We're coming off our second straight week of 7-9, and while we're still up on the season, now would be a good time to get back to our winning ways and make some cash. Hopefully the Browns hear my plea.

All lines come courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

LAST WEEK: 7-9
OVERALL: 35-28

New England Patriots (-5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Thursday, 8:25 p.m. ET)

The pick: Buccaneers +5

The logic: This one is a nightmare when it comes to picking a side. On one hand you have the Buccaneers as a home underdog going against a Patriots team that appears to have one of the worst defenses in the country. On the other, you have Bill Belichick and Tom Brady coming off a loss, which always seems like a sure bet. I'm taking the Buccos here because they have cooler Color Rush jerseys, but I highly recommend just betting the over and saving your big money for later on in the week.



New York Jets (PK) at Cleveland Browns (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

The pick: Browns PK

The logic: If you bet on the Jets this game you are betting on the Jets to win three games in a row, and that just seems like an absurd thing to bet on. Also, the Jets can't afford to win this game and put themselves a full three games behind the Browns in the race for the first overall pick at next year's draft. DeShone Kizer gets the first win of his career and the Dawg Pound goes home happy.



Buffalo Bills (+3) at Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

The pick: Bengals -3

The logic: This line is insane right? The Bills have beaten two of the best teams in football the past two weeks, and the Bengals just got their first win of the year against the Browns. The Bengals still haven't scored a touchdown at home this year! So I'm backing Cincinnati, because this line makes no sense, and if the line makes no sense, Vegas knows something I don't.



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